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ENG Anglicko - National League North · Zápas ·

Buxton vs Hereford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich53%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí23%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich53% selection probability
Projected score2–1BuxtonHereford
Expected goals3.35Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac65% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
53% / 25% / 23%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hereford win (22.8%)Dvojitá šanca1X77.2%1.30
Viac 65% · Menej 35%Goals 2.5Viac65%1.54
Áno 61% · Nie 39%Oba tímy skórujúÁno61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Buxton win53%1.89
Remíza25%4.00
Hereford win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Buxton2.22

Domáci share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 65% · Menej 35%

Hereford1.13

Hostia share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Buxton

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Hereford

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Výhra probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
BuxtonHereford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Buxton signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hereford signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Buxton vs Hereford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Buxton výhra 53%,Remíza 25%,Hereford výhra 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Viac 2.5 65% · Current selection Viac