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ENG Inglaterra - National League North · Partido ·

Buxton vs Hereford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local53%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante23%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local53% selection probability
Projected score2–1BuxtonHereford
Expected goals3.35Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 25% / 23%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hereford win (22.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X77.2%1.30
Más de 65% · Menos de 35%Goals 2.5Más de65%1.54
Sí 61% · No 39%Ambos equipos marcan61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Buxton win53%1.89
Empate25%4.00
Hereford win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Buxton2.22

Local share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 65% · Menos de 35%

Hereford1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Buxton

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Hereford

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
BuxtonHereford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Buxton signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hereford signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Buxton vs Hereford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Buxton ganada 53%,Empate 25%,Hereford ganada 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Más de 2.5 65% · Current selection Más de