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ENG Англия - Национална Лига - Север · Мач ·

Бъкстън vs Херефорд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина53%
Равен25%
Победа за госта23%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина53% selection probability
Projected score2–1БъкстънХерефорд
Expected goals3.35Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
53% / 25% / 23%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Херефорд win (22.8%)Двоен шанс1X77.2%1.30
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Бъкстън win53%1.89
Равен25%4.00
Херефорд win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бъкстън2.22

Домакин share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Херефорд1.13

Гост share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бъкстън

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Херефорд

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
БъкстънХерефорд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бъкстън signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Херефорд signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Бъкстън vs Херефорд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бъкстън печеливш 53%,Равен 25%,Херефорд печеливш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над