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ENG England National League North · Maç ·

Buxton vs Hereford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır53%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır23%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score2–1BuxtonHereford
Expected goals3.35Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
53% / 25% / 23%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hereford win (22.8%)Çifte Şans1X77.2%1.30
Üst 65% · Alt 35%Goals 2.5Üst65%1.54
Evet 61% · Hayır 39%Karşılıklı gol varEvet61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Buxton win53%1.89
Beraberlik25%4.00
Hereford win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Buxton2.22

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 65% · Alt 35%

Hereford1.13

Deplasman share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 61% · Hayır 39%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Buxton

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Hereford

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
BuxtonHereford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Buxton signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hereford signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Buxton vs Hereford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Buxton kazanç 53%,Beraberlik 25%,Hereford kazanç 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · 2.5 Üst 65% · Current selection Üst