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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ - Βορράς · Αγώνας ·

Μπάξτον vs Χέρεφορντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου53%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου23%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΜπάξτονΧέρεφορντ
Expected goals3.35Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
53% / 25% / 23%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Χέρεφορντ win (22.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.2%1.30
Άνω 65% · Κάτω 35%Goals 2.5Άνω65%1.54
Ναι 61% · Όχι 39%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπάξτον win53%1.89
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Χέρεφορντ win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπάξτον2.22

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 65% · Κάτω 35%

Χέρεφορντ1.13

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 61% · Όχι 39%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπάξτον

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χέρεφορντ

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
ΜπάξτονΧέρεφορντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπάξτον signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χέρεφορντ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Μπάξτον vs Χέρεφορντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπάξτον νίκη 53%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Χέρεφορντ νίκη 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Άνω 2.5 65% · Current selection Άνω