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ENG England - National League North · Kamp ·

Buxton vs Hereford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr53%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr23%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr53% selection probability
Projected score2–1BuxtonHereford
Expected goals3.35Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
53% / 25% / 23%KampresultatHjemmesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hereford win (22.8%)Dobbeltchance1X77.2%1.30
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.35 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Buxton win53%1.89
Uafgjort25%4.00
Hereford win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Buxton2.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Hereford1.13

Ude share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Buxton

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hereford

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vundet probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
BuxtonHereford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Buxton signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hereford signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Buxton vs Hereford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Buxton vundet 53%,Uafgjort 25%,Hereford vundet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over