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ENG Inglaterra - National League North · Partido ·

Chorley vs Chester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChorleyChester
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 27% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doble Oportunidad1273.2%1.37
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.51 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chorley1.32

Local share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

Chester1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Chorley

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

Visitante-context · form sequence

Chester

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ChorleyChester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chorley signalLocal won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chester signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chorley vs Chester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chorley ganada 37%,Empate 27%,Chester ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de