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ENG Anglia - nemzeti liga - észak · Mérkőzés ·

Chorley vs Chester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem37%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem36%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChorleyChester
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
37% / 27% / 36%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dupla esély1273.2%1.37
Felett 46% · Alatt 54%Goals 2.5Alatt54%1.85
Igen 52% · Nem 48%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen52%1.92
2.51 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.4 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chorley1.32

Hazai share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 46% · Alatt 54%

Chester1.19

Vendég share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 52% · Nem 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Chorley

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai won 2/3 recent home matches

Vendég-context · form sequence

Chester

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Nyert probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ChorleyChester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chorley signalHazai won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chester signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chorley vs Chester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chorley nyer 37%,Döntetlen 27%,Chester nyer 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · 2.5 felett 46% · Current selection Alatt