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ENG England National League North · Trận đấu ·

Chorley vs Chester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng37%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChorleyChester
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu54% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
37% / 27% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Cơ hội kép1273.2%1.37
Tài 46% · Xỉu 54%Goals 2.5Xỉu54%1.85
Có 51% · Không 49%Cả hai đội ghi bàn51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chorley win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
Hòa27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
Chester win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chorley1.32

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 46% · Xỉu 54%

Chester1.19

Khách share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · Không 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Chorley

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

Khách-context · form sequence

Chester

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
ChorleyChester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chorley signalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chester signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chorley vs Chester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chorley thắng 37%,Hòa 27%,Chester thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Tài 2.5 46% · Current selection Xỉu