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チョーリー vs チェスター

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1チョーリーチェスター
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 27% / 36%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)ダブルチャンス1273.2%1.37
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 52% · いいえ 48%両チーム得点はい52%1.92
2.51 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
チョーリー win37%2.702.4537%0.0 pp
引き分け27%3.703.4026.7%+0.3 pp
チェスター win36%2.782.5036.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

チョーリー1.32

ホーム share of expected goals 52.6%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

チェスター1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 52% · いいえ 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

チョーリー

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

アウェイ-context · form sequence

チェスター

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.19
チョーリーチェスター
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01チョーリー signalホーム won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02チェスター signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

チョーリー vs チェスター FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

チョーリー 勝ち 37%,引き分け 27%,チェスター 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー