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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラBメトロポリターナ · 試合 ·

アルゼンチーノ・キルメス vs レアルピラル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1アルゼンチーノ・キルメスレアルピラル
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 32% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes レアルピラル win (31.2%)ダブルチャンス1X68.8%1.45
オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%Goals 2.5アンダー65%1.54
はい 42% · いいえ 58%両チーム得点いいえ58%1.72
2.08 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapアルゼンチーノ・キルメス winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルゼンチーノ・キルメス win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
引き分け32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
レアルピラル win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルゼンチーノ・キルメス1.02

ホーム share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 35% · アンダー 65%

レアルピラル1.06

アウェイ share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 42% · いいえ 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルゼンチーノ・キルメス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レアルピラル

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
アルゼンチーノ・キルメスレアルピラル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルゼンチーノ・キルメス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レアルピラル signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

アルゼンチーノ・キルメス vs レアルピラル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルゼンチーノ・キルメス 勝ち 36%,引き分け 32%,レアルピラル 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · オーバー 2.5 35% · Current selection アンダー