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ARG 阿根廷大都會區乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

基爾梅斯阿根廷 vs 皇家皮拉爾

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝36%
32%
客勝31%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝36% selection probability
Projected score1–1基爾梅斯阿根廷皇家皮拉爾
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.565% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
36% / 32% / 31%比賽結果主勝36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 皇家皮拉爾 win (31.2%)雙重機會1X68.8%1.45
大 35% · 小 65%Goals 2.565%1.54
是 42% · 否 58%雙方進球58%1.72
2.08 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gap基爾梅斯阿根廷 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
基爾梅斯阿根廷 win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
皇家皮拉爾 win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

基爾梅斯阿根廷1.02

主隊 share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 35% · 65%

皇家皮拉爾1.06

客隊 share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

基爾梅斯阿根廷

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

皇家皮拉爾

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
贏 probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
基爾梅斯阿根廷皇家皮拉爾
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01基爾梅斯阿根廷 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02皇家皮拉爾 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

基爾梅斯阿根廷 vs 皇家皮拉爾 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

基爾梅斯阿根廷 36%, 32%,皇家皮拉爾 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · 大2.5 35% · Current selection