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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Spiel ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg36%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
36% / 32% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Pilar win (31.2%)Doppelte Chance1X68.8%1.45
Über 35% · Unter 65%Goals 2.5Unter65%1.54
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino Quilmes win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Real Pilar win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Heim share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 35% · Unter 65%

Real Pilar1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes Gewinn 36%,Unentschieden 32%,Real Pilar Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Über 2.5 35% · Current selection Unter