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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Partida ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 32% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Pilar win (31.2%)Dupla Chance1X68.8%1.45
Acima 35% · Abaixo 65%Goals 2.5Abaixo65%1.54
Sim 42% · Não 58%Ambas as equipes marcamNão58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino Quilmes win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
Empate32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Real Pilar win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Mandante share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 35% · Abaixo 65%

Real Pilar1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 42% · Não 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes ganhou 36%,Empate 32%,Real Pilar ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Acima 2.5 35% · Current selection Abaixo