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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Partido ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 32% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Pilar win (31.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X68.8%1.45
Más de 35% · Menos de 65%Goals 2.5Menos de65%1.54
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino Quilmes win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
Empate32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Real Pilar win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Local share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 35% · Menos de 65%

Real Pilar1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes ganada 36%,Empate 32%,Real Pilar ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Más de 2.5 35% · Current selection Menos de