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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Match ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 32% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Pilar win (31.2%)Double chance1X68.8%1.45
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapArgentino Quilmes winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Argentino Quilmes win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
Nul32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Real Pilar win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Domicile share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Real Pilar1.06

Extérieur share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes victoire 36%,Nul 32%,Real Pilar victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de