MatchFormula 尋找比賽
Menu
UTC+8
時區Asia/Shanghai
繁體中文
ARG 阿根廷大都會區乙級聯賽 · Round 28 ·

塔勒雷斯 vs 梅洛小阿根廷

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–01.71 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝54%
28%
客勝18%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝54% selection probability
Projected score1–0塔勒雷斯梅洛小阿根廷
Expected goals1.71Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.575% for the selected side
雙方進球72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
54% / 28% / 18%比賽結果主勝54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 梅洛小阿根廷 win (17.6%)雙重機會1X82.4%1.21
大 25% · 小 75%Goals 2.575%1.33
是 28% · 否 72%雙方進球72%1.39
1.71 total expected goals正確比分1–0
8.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gap塔勒雷斯 winDifference-0.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
塔勒雷斯 win54%1.851.6554.2%-0.2 pp
28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
梅洛小阿根廷 win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

塔勒雷斯1.22

主隊 share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals1.71Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 25% · 75%

梅洛小阿根廷0.49

客隊 share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 28% · 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

塔勒雷斯

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

梅洛小阿根廷

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
贏 probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.22
Expected goals
0.49
塔勒雷斯梅洛小阿根廷
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01塔勒雷斯 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02梅洛小阿根廷 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

塔勒雷斯 vs 梅洛小阿根廷 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–0 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

塔勒雷斯 54%, 28%,梅洛小阿根廷 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.71 · 大2.5 25% · Current selection