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CHE Svizzera - Super League · Partita ·

San Gallo vs Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa43%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–1San GalloThun
Expected goals3.39Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
43% / 26% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppia Chance1273.9%1.35
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.39 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
San Gallo win43%2.33
Pareggio26%3.85
Thun win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Gallo1.92

Casa share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals3.39Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Thun1.47

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

San Gallo

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Thun

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
1.47
San GalloThun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Gallo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Thun signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

San Gallo vs Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Gallo vinta 43%,Pareggio 26%,Thun vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra