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CHE Svizzera - Super League · Partita ·

Servette vs Lucerna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–2ServetteLucerna
Expected goals3.72Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 25% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppia Chance1274.6%1.34
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 71% · No 29%Entrambe le squadre segnano71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Servette win40%2.50
Pareggio25%4.00
Lucerna win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Servette1.98

Casa share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.72Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Lucerna1.74

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 71% · No 29%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Servette

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lucerna

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.98
Expected goals
1.74
ServetteLucerna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Servette signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lucerna signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Servette vs Lucerna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Servette vinta 40%,Pareggio 25%,Lucerna vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra