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CHE Schweiz - Super League · Spiel ·

Servette Genf vs Luzern

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Servette GenfLuzern
Expected goals3.72Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 25% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppelte Chance1274.6%1.34
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Servette Genf win40%2.50
Unentschieden25%4.00
Luzern win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Servette Genf1.98

Heim share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.72Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Luzern1.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Servette Genf

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Luzern

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.98
Expected goals
1.74
Servette GenfLuzern
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Servette Genf signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Luzern signalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Servette Genf vs Luzern FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Servette Genf Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 25%,Luzern Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über