Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 25% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Servette win40%2.50
Draw25%4.00
Lucerne win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.2%
Total expected goals3.72Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%
Away share of expected goals 46.8%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchServette
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchLucerne
WDLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
41.98
Expected goals
1.74ServetteLucerne
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Servette vs Lucerne FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Servette win 40%，Draw 25%，Lucerne win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.72 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over。