Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 32% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.1%)Double chance1267.9%1.47
Over 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.03 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Sion win33%3.03
Draw32%3.13
Lugano win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.8%
Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 33% · Under 67%
Away share of expected goals 51.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFC Sion
LWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchLugano
WDWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
33%
Win probability excluding draw
35%10
Points from supplied form
130.99
Expected goals
1.04FC SionLugano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
FC Sion vs Lugano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Sion win 33%，Draw 32%，Lugano win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.03 · Over 2.5 33% · Current selection Under。