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CHE Elvetia - Superliga · Meci ·

FC Sion vs Lugano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde33%
Egal32%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC SionLugano
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
33% / 32% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.1%)Șansă dublă1267.9%1.47
Peste 33% · Sub 67%Goals 2.5Sub67%1.49
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
2.03 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FC Sion win33%3.03
Egal32%3.13
Lugano win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Sion0.99

Gazde share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 33% · Sub 67%

Lugano1.04

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Sion

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.99
Expected goals
1.04
FC SionLugano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Sion signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

FC Sion vs Lugano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Sion câștig 33%,Egal 32%,Lugano câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Peste 2.5 33% · Current selection Sub