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FC Sion vs Lugano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.03 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC SionLugano
Expected goals2.03Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under67% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 32% / 35%MatchresultatBortaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.1%)Dubbelchans1267.9%1.47
Över 33% · Under 67%Goals 2.5Under67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Sion win33%3.03
Oavgjort32%3.13
Lugano win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Sion0.99

Hemma share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.03Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 33% · Under 67%

Lugano1.04

Borta share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Sion

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.99
Expected goals
1.04
FC SionLugano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Sion signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lugano signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

FC Sion vs Lugano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Sion vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 32%,Lugano vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.03 · Över 2.5 33% · Current selection Under