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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

Servette vs Lucerne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.72 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier40%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier34%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier40% selection probability
Projected score2–2ServetteLucerne
Expected goals3.72Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
40% / 25% / 34%KampresultatHjemmeseier40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dobbel sjanse1274.6%1.34
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nei 29%Begge lag scorerJa71%1.41
3.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Servette win40%2.50
Uavgjort25%4.00
Lucerne win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Servette1.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals3.72Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Lucerne1.74

Borte share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nei 29%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Servette

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Lucerne

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.98
Expected goals
1.74
ServetteLucerne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Servette signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lucerne signalHjemme won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Servette vs Lucerne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Servette vunnet 40%,Uavgjort 25%,Lucerne vunnet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.72 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over