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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

St Gallen vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier43%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier31%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier43% selection probability
Projected score2–1St GallenFC Thun
Expected goals3.39Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
43% / 26% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dobbel sjanse1273.9%1.35
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nei 34%Begge lag scorerJa66%1.52
3.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
St Gallen win43%2.33
Uavgjort26%3.85
FC Thun win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Gallen1.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals3.39Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

FC Thun1.47

Borte share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nei 34%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St Gallen

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
1.47
St GallenFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Gallen signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

St Gallen vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Gallen vunnet 43%,Uavgjort 26%,FC Thun vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over