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CHE Zwitserland - Super League · Wedstrijd ·

St Gallen vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score2–1St GallenFC Thun
Expected goals3.39Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 26% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.39 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
St Gallen win43%2.33
Gelijkspel26%3.85
FC Thun win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Gallen1.92

Thuis share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals3.39Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

FC Thun1.47

Uit share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

St Gallen

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
1.47
St GallenFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Gallen signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

St Gallen vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Gallen gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 26%,FC Thun gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven