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St Gallen vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1St GallenFC Thun
Expected goals3.39始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 26% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)ダブルチャンス1273.9%1.35
オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%Goals 2.5オーバー66%1.52
はい 66% · いいえ 34%両チーム得点はい66%1.52
3.39 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
St Gallen win43%2.33
引き分け26%3.85
FC Thun win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Gallen1.92

ホーム share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals3.39始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%

FC Thun1.47

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 66% · いいえ 34%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

St Gallen

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
1.47
St GallenFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Gallen signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

St Gallen vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Gallen 勝ち 43%,引き分け 26%,FC Thun 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · オーバー 2.5 66% · Current selection オーバー