MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
CHE Schweiz - Super League · Spiel ·

St. Gallen vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.39 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1St. GallenFC Thun
Expected goals3.39Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 26% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppelte Chance1273.9%1.35
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.39 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
St. Gallen win43%2.33
Unentschieden26%3.85
FC Thun win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Gallen1.92

Heim share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals3.39Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

FC Thun1.47

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

St. Gallen

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Thun

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.92
Expected goals
1.47
St. GallenFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Gallen signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

St. Gallen vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Gallen Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 26%,FC Thun Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.39 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über