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CHE Svizzera - Super League · Partita ·

Young Boys vs Basilea

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–24.00 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–2Young BoysBasilea
Expected goals4.00Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 24% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Doppia Chance1276.3%1.31
Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%Goals 2.5Sopra76%1.32
Sì 72% · No 28%Entrambe le squadre segnano72%1.39
4.00 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Young Boys win49%2.04
Pareggio24%4.17
Basilea win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys2.45

Casa share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals4.00Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 76% · Sotto 24%

Basilea1.55

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 72% · No 28%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Young Boys

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Basilea

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.45
Expected goals
1.55
Young BoysBasilea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basilea signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Young Boys vs Basilea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys vinta 49%,Pareggio 24%,Basilea vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.00 · Sopra 2.5 76% · Current selection Sopra