Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 28% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (18.9%)Doppia Chance1X81.1%1.23
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Estudiantes LP win53%1.89
Pareggio28%3.57
Newell's win19%5.26
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 72.4%
Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%
Trasferta share of expected goals 27.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchEstudiantes LP
LWLLW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNewell's
WWLDL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%6
Points from supplied form
71.65
Expected goals
0.63Estudiantes LPNewell's
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Estudiantes LP vs Newell's FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Estudiantes LP vinta 53%，Pareggio 28%，Newell's vinta 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.28 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto。