MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
ARG Argentine - Liga Profesional · Match ·

Estudiantes LP vs Newells

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.28 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Estudiantes LPNewells
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 28% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newells win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Estudiantes LP win53%1.89
Nul28%3.57
Newells win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estudiantes LP1.65

Domicile share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Newells0.63

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Estudiantes LP

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Newells

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
0.63
Estudiantes LPNewells
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estudiantes LP signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newells signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estudiantes LP vs Newells FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estudiantes LP victoire 53%,Nul 28%,Newells victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de