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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Estudiantes vs Newell's

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.28 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local53%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local53% selection probability
Projected score2–1EstudiantesNewell's
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 28% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Newell's win (18.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.1%1.23
Más de 40% · Menos de 60%Goals 2.5Menos de60%1.67
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Estudiantes win53%1.89
Empate28%3.57
Newell's win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estudiantes1.65

Local share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 40% · Menos de 60%

Newell's0.63

Visitante share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Estudiantes

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Newell's

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
0.63
EstudiantesNewell's
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estudiantes signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Newell's signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estudiantes vs Newell's FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estudiantes ganada 53%,Empate 28%,Newell's ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Más de 2.5 40% · Current selection Menos de