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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 29% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia Mendoza win (24.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.7%1.32
Más de 44% · Menos de 56%Goals 2.5Menos de56%1.79
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.44 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Independiente win47%2.13
Empate29%3.45
Gimnasia Mendoza win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente1.57

Local share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 44% · Menos de 56%

Gimnasia Mendoza0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Independiente

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal failed to score: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gimnasia Mendoza

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.57
Expected goals
0.87
IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente signalLocal failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia Mendoza signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente ganada 47%,Empate 29%,Gimnasia Mendoza ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Más de 2.5 44% · Current selection Menos de