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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Maç ·

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır47%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır24%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score2–1IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
47% / 29% / 24%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia Mendoza win (24.3%)Çifte Şans1X75.7%1.32
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.44 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Independiente win47%2.13
Beraberlik29%3.45
Gimnasia Mendoza win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente1.57

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Gimnasia Mendoza0.87

Deplasman share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Independiente

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Gimnasia Mendoza

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalDeplasman won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.57
Expected goals
0.87
IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia Mendoza signalDeplasman won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente kazanç 47%,Beraberlik 29%,Gimnasia Mendoza kazanç 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt