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ARG Argentinië - Liga Profesional · Wedstrijd ·

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–1IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 29% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia Mendoza win (24.3%)Dubbele Kans1X75.7%1.32
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.44 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Independiente win47%2.13
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Gimnasia Mendoza win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente1.57

Thuis share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Gimnasia Mendoza0.87

Uit share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Independiente

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Gimnasia Mendoza

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.57
Expected goals
0.87
IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia Mendoza signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 29%,Gimnasia Mendoza gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder