Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 29% / 24%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia Mendoza win (24.3%)Double chance1X75.7%1.32
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Independiente win47%2.13
Draw29%3.45
Gimnasia Mendoza win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64.3%
Total expected goals2.44Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 35.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchIndependiente
DWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchGimnasia Mendoza
WWLWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
24%4
Points from supplied form
91.57
Expected goals
0.87IndependienteGimnasia Mendoza
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Independiente win 47%，Draw 29%，Gimnasia Mendoza win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。