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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Fixture ·

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw29%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 29% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.48 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Rosario Central win48%2.08
Draw29%3.45
Gimnasia LP win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rosario Central1.61

Home share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Gimnasia LP0.87

Away share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rosario Central

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.87
Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rosario Central signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rosario Central win 48%,Draw 29%,Gimnasia LP win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under