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ARG Argentinien - Liga Profesional · Spiel ·

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 29% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP win (23.8%)Doppelte Chance1X76.2%1.31
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
2.48 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Rosario Central win48%2.08
Unentschieden29%3.45
Gimnasia LP win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rosario Central1.61

Heim share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Gimnasia LP0.87

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Rosario Central

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.87
Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rosario Central signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rosario Central Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 29%,Gimnasia LP Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter