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ARG Argentinien - Liga Profesional · Spiel ·

Banfield vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg31%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg38%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BanfieldRiver Plate
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
31% / 31% / 38%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Doppelte Chance1269.4%1.44
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Banfield win31%3.23
Unentschieden31%3.23
River Plate win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banfield1.04

Heim share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

River Plate1.25

Auswärts share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Banfield

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

River Plate

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.04
Expected goals
1.25
BanfieldRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banfield signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Banfield vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banfield Gewinn 31%,Unentschieden 31%,River Plate Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter