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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partita ·

Banfield vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite38%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite38% selection probability
Projected score1–1BanfieldRiver Plate
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 31% / 38%Esito partitaVittoria ospite38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Doppia Chance1269.4%1.44
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.29 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Banfield win31%3.23
Pareggio31%3.23
River Plate win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Banfield1.04

Casa share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

River Plate1.25

Trasferta share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Banfield

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

River Plate

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.04
Expected goals
1.25
BanfieldRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Banfield signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Banfield vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Banfield vinta 31%,Pareggio 31%,River Plate vinta 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto