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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partita ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa28%
Pareggio38%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastPareggioTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callPareggio38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto85% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
28% / 38% / 34%Esito partitaPareggio38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)Doppia ChanceX271.6%1.40
Sopra 15% · Sotto 85%Goals 2.5Sotto85%1.18
Sì 24% · No 76%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Pareggio38%2.63
Velez Sarsfield win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Casa share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 15% · Sotto 85%

Velez Sarsfield0.73

Trasferta share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 24% · No 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Velez Sarsfield

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Velez Sarsfield signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Pareggio · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra vinta 28%,Pareggio 38%,Velez Sarsfield vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Sopra 2.5 15% · Current selection Sotto