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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Match ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger28%
Oavgjort38%
Bortaseger34%
Full model forecastOavgjortTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callOavgjort38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under85% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
28% / 38% / 34%MatchresultatOavgjort38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)DubbelchansX271.6%1.40
Över 15% · Under 85%Goals 2.5Under85%1.18
Ja 24% · Nej 76%Båda lagen gör målNej76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Oavgjort38%2.63
Velez Sarsfield win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Hemma share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 15% · Under 85%

Velez Sarsfield0.73

Borta share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 24% · Nej 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Velez Sarsfield

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalHemma matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Velez Sarsfield signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Oavgjort · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra vunnen 28%,Oavgjort 38%,Velez Sarsfield vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Över 2.5 15% · Current selection Under