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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Match ·

Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.83 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger28%
Oavgjort33%
Bortaseger39%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético TucumánBelgrano
Expected goals1.83Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
28% / 33% / 39%MatchresultatBortaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlético Tucumán win (27.6%)DubbelchansX272.4%1.38
Över 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Ja 35% · Nej 65%Båda lagen gör målNej65%1.54
1.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Atlético Tucumán win28%3.57
Oavgjort33%3.03
Belgrano win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Tucumán0.76

Hemma share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals1.83Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 28% · Under 72%

Belgrano1.07

Borta share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nej 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Atlético Tucumán

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Belgrano

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
39%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.76
Expected goals
1.07
Atlético TucumánBelgrano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Tucumán signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano signalHemma clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atlético Tucumán vs Belgrano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Tucumán vunnen 28%,Oavgjort 33%,Belgrano vunnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.83 · Över 2.5 28% · Current selection Under