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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Match ·

Argentinos Jrs vs Aldosivi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–02.05 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–0Argentinos JrsAldosivi
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 29% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aldosivi win (15.6%)Dubbelchans1X84.4%1.18
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Båda lagen gör målNej70%1.43
2.05 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Argentinos Jrs win56%1.79
Oavgjort29%3.45
Aldosivi win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentinos Jrs1.59

Hemma share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

Aldosivi0.46

Borta share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Argentinos Jrs

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Aldosivi

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
1
1.59
Expected goals
0.46
Argentinos JrsAldosivi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentinos Jrs signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aldosivi signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Argentinos Jrs vs Aldosivi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–0 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentinos Jrs vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 29%,Aldosivi vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under