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ARG Argentine - Liga Profesional · Match ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sarsfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul38%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastNulTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callNul38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraVélez Sarsfield
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de85% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 38% / 34%Résultat du matchNul38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)Double chanceX271.6%1.40
Plus de 15% · Moins de 85%Goals 2.5Moins de85%1.18
Oui 24% · Non 76%Les deux équipes marquentNon76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Nul38%2.63
Vélez Sarsfield win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Domicile share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 15% · Moins de 85%

Vélez Sarsfield0.73

Extérieur share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 24% · Non 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Vélez Sarsfield

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraVélez Sarsfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vélez Sarsfield signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sarsfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Nul · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra victoire 28%,Nul 38%,Vélez Sarsfield victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Plus de 2.5 15% · Current selection Moins de