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ARG Αργεντινή - Λίγκα Προφεσιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου28%
Ισοπαλία38%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Full model forecastΙσοπαλίαTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΙσοπαλία38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraΒελέζ Σάρσφιλντ
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω85% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
28% / 38% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΙσοπαλία38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX271.6%1.40
Άνω 15% · Κάτω 85%Goals 2.5Κάτω85%1.18
Ναι 24% · Όχι 76%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Ισοπαλία38%2.63
Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 15% · Κάτω 85%

Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ0.73

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 24% · Όχι 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraΒελέζ Σάρσφιλντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ισοπαλία · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra νίκη 28%,Ισοπαλία 38%,Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Άνω 2.5 15% · Current selection Κάτω