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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partida ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sarsfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa28%
Empate38%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastEmpateTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEmpate38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraVélez Sarsfield
Expected goals1.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo85% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
28% / 38% / 34%Resultado da partidaEmpate38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (28.4%)Dupla ChanceX271.6%1.40
Acima 15% · Abaixo 85%Goals 2.5Abaixo85%1.18
Sim 24% · Não 76%Ambas as equipes marcamNão76%1.32
1.34 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Deportivo Riestra win28%3.57
Empate38%2.63
Vélez Sarsfield win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.61

Mandante share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals1.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 15% · Abaixo 85%

Vélez Sarsfield0.73

Visitante share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 24% · Não 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vélez Sarsfield

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.61
Expected goals
0.73
Deportivo RiestraVélez Sarsfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vélez Sarsfield signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sarsfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Empate · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra ganhou 28%,Empate 38%,Vélez Sarsfield ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.34 · Acima 2.5 15% · Current selection Abaixo