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ARG Argentina - Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.48 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 29% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gimnasia LP win (23.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.2%1.31
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.48 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Rosario Central win48%2.08
Empate29%3.45
Gimnasia LP win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rosario Central1.61

Local share of expected goals 64.9%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Gimnasia LP0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 35.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Rosario Central

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.87
Rosario CentralGimnasia LP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rosario Central signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gimnasia LP signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia LP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rosario Central ganada 48%,Empate 29%,Gimnasia LP ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de