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ARG Αργεντινή - Λίγκα Προφεσιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ vs Νιούελς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.28 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου53%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου19%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Εστουδιάντες ΛΠΝιούελς
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
53% / 28% / 19%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Νιούελς win (18.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X81.1%1.23
Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%Goals 2.5Κάτω60%1.67
Ναι 38% · Όχι 62%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62%1.61
2.28 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ win53%1.89
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Νιούελς win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ1.65

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%

Νιούελς0.63

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 38% · Όχι 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νιούελς

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.65
Expected goals
0.63
Εστουδιάντες ΛΠΝιούελς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νιούελς signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ vs Νιούελς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Εστουδιάντες ΛΠ νίκη 53%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Νιούελς νίκη 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Άνω 2.5 40% · Current selection Κάτω